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Secret US military strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island reportedly caused Polymarket odds for a ceasefire lasting through the midterms to fall from 96 percent to under 1 percent.
Part of a series: US strikes Iran as talks stall and oil prices swing
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HotIran
American military units are said to have targeted Qeshm Island on Monday. Vice President Vance simultaneously expressed optimism about reaching a diplomatic resolution with Tehran.
HotIran
President Donald Trump said the United States might have to attack the Pickaxe nuclear facility in Iran. The remark signals a potential escalation in tensions between the two countries.
HotIran
U.S. officials say the United States struck Iran's Qeshm Island on Monday as part of weeks of undisclosed operations aimed at protecting commercial shipping. The island hosts a missile facility and naval base, and CENTCOM has moved additional defenses into the region.
HotIran
Tehran insists its peace plan can start in two days if Washington removes the port blockade, opens the Strait of Hormuz, and drops fresh sanctions. Nuclear discussions would follow only after Iran confirms those steps.
Iran
Iranian media reports that a Qatari team, including a prime ministerial adviser, arrived in the capital for diplomatic discussions.
Iran
Iran's IRNA news agency stated that explosions were heard on Qeshm Island, a strategic location in the Strait of Hormuz.
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