The Marked Chart Wire · Markets
Markets
Trump says Washington will not attack Iran right away
The president told reporters that the US government has no current intention to launch military strikes against Tehran.
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Midterms
Historical data suggests S&P 500 gains after midterms
Analysis of past elections indicates the S&P 500 typically rises over the year following midterms. Divided government outcomes have averaged a 15 percent gain, while single-party control averaged 11.5 percent.
Bonds
Renaissance Macro strategist suggests bonds may outperform stocks
Neil Dutta of Renaissance Macro argues that Treasury bonds and defensive sectors offer better opportunities than equities over the next 12 to 18 months, citing Fed policy and consumer resilience.
Markets
Historical data shows strong November returns for select S&P 500 stocks
Parker-Hannifin, Seagate, Deckers, and Ulta Beauty posted gains in every November from 2016 to 2025. Coherent recorded the highest average monthly return at 12.0 percent during that period.
Market Flows
Market sees $985 million in selling pressure
Traders recorded $985 million in selling for the broader market, $1.4 billion for Nasdaq futures, and $45 million for the Dow. Mag 7 stocks also saw $23 million in selling.
HotMarkets
Options traders buy Solar calls ahead of midterm election results
Traders piled into call options for solar stocks as election forecasts favored Democrats. The Invesco Solar ETF saw volume surge 40 times normal, while SolarEdge and Enphase shares rose 6 percent and 9 percent.
Market Speculation
Ackman warns leverage is making markets act like casinos
Bill Ackman said short-term bets and high debt levels are causing wild price moves. He noted Pershing Square bought Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet during recent drops.
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