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HotMidterms

Dow jumps 3 percent as Democrats win midterms and oil falls

The Dow rose 1,556 points to 53,342.88 following a decisive Democratic midterm victory and a drop in oil prices. WTI crude fell 7.92 percent to $88.48, while the VIX index declined 19.35 percent to 16.80.

Part of a series: Democrats win both chambers as markets react

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Midterms

Historical data suggests S&P 500 gains after midterms

Analysis of past elections indicates the S&P 500 typically rises over the year following midterms. Divided government outcomes have averaged a 15 percent gain, while single-party control averaged 11.5 percent.

SPY+1.6%

Options Flow

Options traders bet on broad market decline

Options activity shows $1 billion in selling on the S&P 500, $1.3 billion on Nasdaq futures, $1.6 billion on the Dow, and $1.8 billion on the Magnificent Seven.

AI Spending

Citroni sees peak in AI infrastructure spending

Citroni argues that AI infrastructure risks have shifted to the downside and predicts higher US data center costs following Democratic midterm wins. The firm also warns of a move toward late-cycle stagflation.

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